Census Data Signals Deep Trouble for Democrats After 2030 | ZeroHedge

By Tyler Durden

Friday, Jan 30, 2026 – 06:00 PM

Democrats are staring down a demographic nightmare that could keep them out of power for years.

Fresh Census Bureau estimates for 2025 paint a grim picture for the party. While red states are growing with new residents, blue states are losing population. As a result, experts predict that House seats and Electoral College votes will shift toward GOP turf after the 2030 Census.

Jonathan Cervas, a redistricting and apportionment expert at Carnegie Mellon University, projects significant gains for Florida and Texas, which would each add four seats. The blue states of California, New York, and Illinois take the hit under his model, losing a combined eight seats.

Source:

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/census-data-signals-deep-trouble-democrats-after-2030

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