Mother Of All ‘Ifs’: Trump Officials Claim Iran Deal Delivers Peace, Inspections & Hormuz Reopening; Iran Says Indeed ‘Close’
Now this is a true first: President Trump sharing Iranian FM Arachchi’s tweet…
FRI JUN 12, AT 4:30 PM
BY TYLER DURDEN
FRIDAY, JUN 12, 2026 – 04:30 PM
Summary
- Araghchi: A deal, if reached, will be signed remotely by both sides and then announced.
- The UAE had agreed to release a total of $10b, more than $3b of which had already been delivered (Reuters).
- Bloomberg latest: US Senior admin officials says Iran deal accomplishes core US objectives and deal reopens Strait of Hormuz; Iran deal guarantees long-term peace in region and includes inspection regime.
- Pakistan PM Sharif: "we can confirm that a final, agreed upon text of the peace deal has been reached & Pakistan is now working closely with both sides to finalize the next steps."
- Surprise, surprise: Iran FM says sides "have never been closer and pending its finalisation, the media should refrain from entering speculation about its content, details to be shared in due course."
- Trump on Truth Social rejects Iran’s version of MoU terms (below): "What they said, including their weak & pathetic statement on having a deal, bears no relation to the truth."
- Tehran: "Contrary to what is being circulated by Western media, Iran will not commit to relinquishing control of the Strait of Hormuz."
- CNN speculates (prematurely, it seems) on Geneva signing of ‘Islamabad Declaration’ as soon as Sunday or next week.
UAE Ready to Unlock Billions for Iran as US Deal Gets Closer
There’s been much more movement on a final MoU revealed today that previosly. Now Reuters is reporting on potentially unlocked Iranian funds, in order to get a negotiations format back to the direct negotiating table, to hammer out a final peace deal.
The UAE has agreed to unlock billions of dollars for Iran, Reuters reports, citing four sources:
- The UAE had agreed to release a total of $10b, more than $3b of which had already been delivered
- Two other sources with knowledge of the arrangement tell Reuters the move put the total funds involved at $20b
- Reuters could not establish whether the funds earmarked for the transfers belong to the UAE or originate in long-blocked Iranian accounts in the UAE banking system, or elsewhere
- “The UAE’s foreign policy is guided by promoting de-escalation and reducing tensions across the region, while advancing lasting peace and stability, a UAE official tells Reuters. “The UAE supports efforts, including those undertaken by the United States, to protect the peoples of the region from the repercussions of conflict”
Trump Admin Official: Imminent Deal Accomplishes Core US Objectives
Bloomberg is out with some specifics, via an unnamed Trump admin official, providing some further texture to what seems the most ‘hopeful’ (emphasis on the tick marks) development concerning a finalized Memorandum of Understanding to end the war and hash out a final deal…
It remains that there are a healthy dose of ifs in here…
BBG: US Senior admin officials says Iran deal accomplishes core US objectives and deal reopens Strait of Hormuz [Iran has a very different interpretation of this point]; Iran deal guarantees long-term peace in region and includes inspection regime.
- If Iran complies, will be rewarded economically.
- Benefits for Iran accrue if they actually deliver.
- US expects to sign agreement overt next few days.
- US to get enriched material under Iran deal.
- Draft agreement also lifts US blockade and leads to dismantlement of Iran nuclear programme.
- Iranians don’t get anything upon signing agreement.
- Not quite at finish line yet, but very close.
- 80-85% confident a deal gets signed.
- Iran deal is specific about opening Strait and lifting of blockade and moving of enriched material.
- Will be significant sanctions relief based on how Iran performs.
- US seen substantial progress in text of agreement.
- Regional peace agreement is broad.
- Agreement on specificity over destruction and removal of enriched material.
- Confident Israelis will get on board.
- Some Iranians don’t love this deal, but think dissent is quite minimal.
Vice President JD Vance has sought to clarify the US position:
Iran is "not receiving any cash" just for signing a deal, Vice President JD Vance said Friday.
Vance said in a post on X that he was "seeing a lot of fake information about a potential deal."
"The Iranians are not receiving any cash, and no funds are being released for simply signing a deal or attending a meeting," he said, adding that the agreement on the table had been structured, "to ensure that the U.S. and its allies’ concerns are prioritized."
Only if Iran "meets its obligations, then economic benefits will flow to them and to the entire region."
"This deal has the potential to remake the region and lead to lasting peace," he said. "The president is going to get us a good outcome, one way or the other."
Diem ‘Richard’ Nguyen
Liên Minh Bảo Hiến Mỹ Gốc Việt
Vietnamese American Conservative Alliance (VACA)
https://freedom-vaca.org/vaca-blog-tieng-viet-nam/